[b_a88]

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT MON SEP 12 2005

...OPHELIA MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR
THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COASTAL REGION
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 77.3 WEST OR ABOUT
175 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 255
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH AND A SLOW...
GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD...MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
OPHELIA HAS THE POTENTIAL TO RESTRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES FROM THE
CENTER. SOME OF THE OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE NEAR THE COAST IN THE
WARNING AREA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.20 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...31.8 N... 77.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC

[phileysmiley]

<img src="http://i.a.cnn.net/cnn/2005/WEATHER/09/12/ophelia.ap/story.oph.satimg.jpg" align="right">UPDATE
-------------------------------------
Ophelia downgraded to tropical storm
Storm idling off the Carolinas
Monday, September 12, 2005; Posted: 11:23 a.m. EDT (15:23 GMT)

WILMINGTON, North Carolina (AP) -- Hurricane Ophelia was downgraded to a tropical storm again Monday as the indecisive weather system moved slowly off the coast, its outer bands of rain not quite reaching land. Despite Ophelia's waxing and waning strength and slow progress, residents' attention had been focused by the devastation caused elsewhere by Hurricane Katrina.

"I think we're all waiting for something to happen," Steve King said as he secured his sea kayak against possible high wind and waves. Ophelia's sustained wind speed slowed Monday morning to about 70 mph, 4 mph below the threshold for a hurricane, but it had the potential to regain hurricane strength over the next day or so, the National Hurricane Center said.

A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch remained in effect from Cape Lookout south to Edisto Beach, South Carolina, the hurricane center said. On Sunday, concerned about possible coastal flooding, Gov. Mike Easley ordered 200 National Guard soldiers to eastern North Carolina. The governor also ordered a mandatory evacuation of nonresidents from fragile Ocracoke Island on the Outer Banks, reachable only by ferry.

Although the storm was centered more than 200 miles from Wilmington, it kicked up heavy seas and lifeguards ordered swimmers out of the surf Sunday at Wrightsville Beach, east of the city. "Now I know how a flounder feels. I was getting tossed all over the place," said Kathy Carroll, 37, of Wilmington.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> CNN/Associated Press
<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/view.jpg" border="0"> <a href=http://www.cnn.com/2005/WEATHER/09/12/ophelia.ap/index.html target=_blank>complete article</a>

[b_a88]

HURRICANE OPHELIA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND OPHELIA HAS REACHED HURRICANE
STRENGTH...
...HURRICANE WARNING EXTENDED NORTHWARD...

AT 530 PM EDT...2130Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. A HURRICANE
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA
TO OREGON INLET CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE NOW IN EFFECT
NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...
INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
SOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...
INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 530 PM EDT...2130Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 78.1 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES
SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 110 MILES EAST OF
CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER... STEERING
CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...SO SOME ERRATIC MOTION WILL BE POSSIBLE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS NOW A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES FROM THE CENTER. OPHELIA'S STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED
RELATIVELY FAR FROM THE CENTER...ROUGHLY 50 TO 60 MILES...AND THESE
WINDS WILL REACH THE COASTLINE WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.
DURING THE PAST HOUR... NOAA BUOY 41004 LOCATED EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
CHARLESTON REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH WITH A GUST TO 65
MPH...WHILE NOAA BUOY 41013 LOCATED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE FEAR
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 47 MPH WITH A GUST TO 58 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE WINDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA. A STORM SURGE OF 8 TO
10 FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS.

OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES OVER FAR NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF NORTH
CAROLINA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

REPEATING THE 530 PM EDT POSITION...32.6 N... 78.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC

[phileysmiley]

UPDATE
-----------------------------------
Ophelia a hurricane again
Storm forces evacuation of islands along N.C. coast
Updated: 6:36 p.m. ET Sept. 13, 2005

WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH, N.C. - Vulnerable islands were evacuated and mainland schools were closed Tuesday as Ophelia again strengthened to a hurricane and wobbled closer to land with a threat of flooding rain. The National Hurricane Center upgraded the storm

[phileysmiley]

<img src="http://i.a.cnn.net/cnn/2005/WEATHER/09/14/ophelia/story.noaa.1145p.tue.jpg" align="right">UPDATE
--------------------------------
Carolinas brace for Ophelia
Residents warned to prepare as outer bands lash coast
Wednesday, September 14, 2005; Posted: 3:26 a.m. EDT (07:26 GMT)

(CNN) -- North Carolina's governor urged residents of low-lying areas and coastal islands to head for safer ground Tuesday, as Hurricane Ophelia loomed in the Atlantic, threatening the state's southeastern corner with heavy rains and strong winds that could last for up to two days.

The fickle, lumbering storm was at a virtual standstill at 2 a.m. Wednesday, with its center about 100 miles south of Wilmington, North Carolina, spinning strong rain bands toward the shores of the Carolinas, the National Hurricane Center said.

Ophelia has been drifting slowly northward overnight, headed for a projected landfall near Morehead City Wednesday evening. Ophelia reached hurricane intensity again Tuesday evening with sustained winds of 75 mph. Over the past week, the storm has wobbled four times between hurricane and tropical storm status as it moved erratically up the East Coast, making three loops along its path.

As the hurricane approaches, Wilmington, the largest city on the North Carolina coast, could start feeling hurricane force winds of at least 74 mph Wednesday morning. Those winds extended up to 50 miles from Ophelia's center, with tropical storm force winds of at least 39 mph extending 140 miles.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> CNN
<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/view.jpg" border="0"> <a href=http://www.cnn.com/2005/WEATHER/09/14/ophelia/index.html target=_blank>complete article</a>

[Intelligence]

I hope it doesn't come down here to australia.
I've got 10 computers and I can't take all them with me if I have to go!

[b_a88]

HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT WED SEP 14 2005

CORRECTED INTENSITY FROM 80 TO 85 MPH IN REPEAT SECTION

...OPHELIA CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO
THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO THE
NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT NORTH
OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT
VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LITTLE
RIVER INLET TO NORTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER. THIS WARNING WILL
LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE
OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 77.4 WEST
OR ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT
70 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO
OCCUR BY TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS FORECAST
TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THURSDAY ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA NEAR CAPE LOOKOUT. HOWEVER...THE NORTHERN EYEWALL WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT... AND OVER THE OUTER BANKS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

DATA FROM AN NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND NOAA LAND-BASED
DOPPLER RADARS INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL OCCURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE CONTINUING ALONG
THE SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM NEAR THE NORTH
CAROLINA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT.
DURING THE PAST HOUR...A NOAA REPORTING STATION AT WRIGHTVILLE
BEACH NORTH CAROLINA RECORDED 6-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND SPEED OF 68 MPH
WITH A GUST TO 77 MPH...WHILE NOAA BUOY 41013 LOCATED IN THE
SOUTHERN EYEWALL REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 59 MPH WITH A GUST TO
78 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.

MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. A STORM SURGE OF 9 TO 11
FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS.

OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES OVER EXTREME NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF NORTH
CAROLINA TODAY.

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...33.9 N... 77.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC

[b_a88]

HURRICANE OPHELIA TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT WED SEP 14 2005

AT 8 PM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
LATITUDE 34.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.8 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. DURING THE PAST
HOUR A WIND GUST TO 86 MPH WAS RECORDED AT CAPE LOOKOUT. THAT
STATION ALSO REPORTED A 10-MIN AVERAGE WIND OF 67 MPH.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC

[phileysmiley]

<img src="http://i.a.cnn.net/cnn/2005/WEATHER/09/14/ophelia/story.oph.845.jpg" align="right">UPDATE
-----------------------------------
Ophelia hammers North Carolina coast
Wednesday, September 14, 2005; Posted: 11:21 p.m. EDT (03:21 GMT)

ATLANTIC BEACH, North Carolina (CNN) -- Hurricane Ophelia pounded the North Carolina coast Wednesday with high wind, heavy rain and punishing surf as the storm lumbered toward a Thursday morning landfall. "This one is getting worse as we go forward," North Carolina Gov. Mike Easley told CNN.

As of 11 p.m. ET, the Category 1 storm, with maximum sustained winds of 85 mph, was about 20 miles south-southeast of Cape Lookout, the southernmost point of the Outer Banks. t was moving east-northeast at about 7 mph, meaning rain could soak some areas for more than 36 hours, according to an advisory from the National Hurricane Center.

"The problem with that is it gives more time to create a large storm surge, which we think now will be 9 to 11 feet," Easley said. "It looks like we're going to get somewhere around 12 inches of rainfall."

"We know we're going to see some flooding, and we need people to evacuate if they've been told to do so," he said. "Once this storm comes through, it's going to be a long time before it leaves. If you lose power you probably won't get it back for a day or two."

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> CNN
<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/view.jpg" border="0"> <a href=http://www.cnn.com/2005/WEATHER/09/14/ophelia/index.html target=_blank>complete article</a>

[DRAGON OF DARKNESS]

Look at the eye wall, its gliding RIGHT ON the coast.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html