[b_a88]

From Advisory Number 9

...OPHEILA REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.6 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...28.6 N... 79.6 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE... 989 MB.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC

[Nolez]

She's now a Hurricane and she's most likely making a U-Turn and heading back towards Florida by next week.

Must be related to Jeanne from last year.

<img src=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT16/refresh/AL1605W5_sm2+gif/205509W_sm.gif>

[b_a88]

HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU SEP 08 2005

...OPHELIA BECOMES THE SEVENTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON...STILL NOT
MOVING...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD TO SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM SEBASTIAN INLET NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA
COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA...AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

OPHELIA IS STATIONARY AND A SLOW NORTHEASTWARD MOTION MAY OCCUR OVER
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A
CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INCREASE
IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 80 MILES...130 KM.

THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.

OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...28.6 N... 79.5 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE... 985 MB.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC

[phileysmiley]

<img src="http://i.a.cnn.net/cnn/2005/WEATHER/09/08/tropical.weather/story.wx.pm.ap.jpg" align="right">UPDATE
-----------------------------
Ophelia becomes third hurricane churning in Atlantic
Thursday, September 8, 2005; Posted: 6:57 p.m. EDT (22:57 GMT)

(CNN) -- Tropical storm Ophelia morphed into a hurricane Thursday afternoon with 75 mph winds, the National Hurricane Center reported, bringing the number of hurricanes whipping the Atlantic Ocean simultaneously to three. Hurricane Ophelia's center was 70 miles east-northeast of Cape Canaveral, Florida.

The storm was stationary, but forecasters said it may begin moving slowly Friday to the northeast, strengthen, then either head south to the Caribbean or make a loop and barrel into Florida. Hurricanes' erratic movements make long-range forecasts works in progress.

An uncommon looping path is familiar to residents of the hurricane-weary Sunshine State. Last September, Hurricane Jeanne appeared to be heading out to sea before looping north of the Bahamas and hitting Florida's east coast as a Category 2 hurricane and killing six people.

A tropical storm warning was in effect for the east coast of Florida from Sebastian Inlet, south of Melbourne, to Flagler Beach, an area that Ophelia's edges were drubbing Thursday afternoon. A tropical storm watch was in effect for northeast Florida from Flagler Beach to Fernandina Beach, which means tropical storm conditions are possible within 36 hours.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> CNN
<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/view.jpg" border="0"> <a href=http://www.cnn.com/2005/WEATHER/09/08/tropical.weather/index.html target=_blank>complete article</a>

[phileysmiley]

<img src="http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/j/msnbc/Components/Photos/050908/050908_noaa_update_hmed.h2.jpg">

[b_a88]

Not much has changed with OPHELIA, she is nearly stationary and is expected to slowly drift northeastward on Friday. Her pressure has gone up slightly though and is now at 990.

[kanaloa]

I ran every model this morning... and every last one of them has the storm coming into SC next Fri-Sun. Every single model nearly has the same thing. That's pretty unusual for so far out.

[Nolez]

I ran every model this morning... and every last one of them has the storm coming into SC next Fri-Sun. Every single model nearly has the same thing. That's pretty unusual for so far out.

I think I will be coming to you for my hurricane forecasts from now on. Sorry that is the outlook though.

<img src=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT16/refresh/AL1605W5_sm2+gif/085050W_sm.gif>

[b_a88]

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI SEP 09 2005

...OPHELIA MOVING AWAY FROM THE U.S COAST...FOR NOW...

AT 11AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST
OF FLORIDA FROM SEBASTIAN INLET NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH...AND A
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA
BEACH HAVE BENN DISCONTINUED.

INTERESTS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH THE CAROLINAS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.9 WEST OR ABOUT
130 MILES...EAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WAS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.

A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS EXISTS FROM FLORIDA NORTHWARD
THROUGH THE CAROLINAS.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...29.5 N... 78.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC

[e to the x]

Looks like Hilton Head is gonna get nailed...