Tropical Storm HARVEY
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Postby Nolez on Fri Aug 05, 2005 11:48 am

b_a88 wrote:
NolezXP wrote:Harvey may actually help us with Tropical Depression 9 that is expected to be a hurricane by Monday. It is currently southeast of Harvey.


Things have changed signicantly and unexpectedly with TD#9 this morning including track and intesity.

Check it's thread <a href="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=60842" Target="_blank">Here</a>.


Yeah....lol...as soon as I posted that I saw your post about that. The next two months are going to be really crazy! :confused
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Postby b_a88 on Fri Aug 05, 2005 11:53 am

NolezXP wrote:
b_a88 wrote:
NolezXP wrote:Harvey may actually help us with Tropical Depression 9 that is expected to be a hurricane by Monday. It is currently southeast of Harvey.


Things have changed signicantly and unexpectedly with TD#9 this morning including track and intesity.

Check it's thread <a href="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=60842" Target="_blank">Here</a>.


Yeah....lol...as soon as I posted that I saw your post about that. The next two months are going to be really crazy! :confused


The thing is it is weakening, not strengthening, and heading farther north all of a sudden just like that. But who knows it may all of a sudden with out warning go back the other way but that is not expected now at this point.
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Postby b_a88 on Sat Aug 06, 2005 2:52 am

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI AUG 05 2005

...HARVEY CONTINUES SLOWLY EASTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST OR ABOUT
455 MILES... 735 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.

HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...32.4 N... 57.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC



Harvey is being sheared badly and thus is continuing to weaken as a result and also Harvey is moving to cooler waters also.
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Postby b_a88 on Sat Aug 06, 2005 9:14 am

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY DISCUSSION NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT AUG 06 2005

A DEEP BURST OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER AND NORTHEAST OF THE
PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THEREFORE...THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS BEING MAINTAINED AT 45 KT...WHICH SUPPORTED BY AN
EARLIER QUIKSCAT OVERPASS THAT CONTAINED 40-KT AND 50-KT UNFLAGGED
WIND VECTORS JUST NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 030/06. HARVEY HAS TURNED TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST SOONER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED...BUT THE OVERALL
FORECAST TRACK AND REASONING REMAINS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY. AS A RESULT...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS TO THE LEFT OF THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST...BUT IS STILL TO THE RIGHT OF THE MODEL
CONSENSUS.

HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY MOVE OVER COOLER WATER AND GRADUALLY
COME UNDER INCREASING WESTERLY SHEAR AS THE NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVES IN FROM THE WEST AND LIFTS OUT THE CYCLONE TO THE NORTHEAST.
THIS SHOULD BRING ABOUT GRADUAL WEAKENING UNTIL THE CYCLONE GETS
CAPTURED BY THE SYSTEM AND DEEPENS SLIGHTLY INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BY 72 HOURS.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC
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Postby b_a88 on Sun Aug 07, 2005 1:40 am

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY DISCUSSION NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT AUG 06 2005

AFTER MOST OF THE DAYLIGHT HOURS WITH HARVEY'S CIRCULATION
EXPOSED...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THE CENTER IS TUCKED
UNDER THE CONVECTION ONCE AGAIN. EVEN THOUGH THE STRONGEST WINDS
ARE MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...CONFIRMED BY A RECENT QUIKSCAT
PASS...THE OVERALL APPEARANCE OF HARVEY ON SATELLITE REMAINS
SURPRISINGLY GOOD. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A DIGGING SHORT WAVE
TROUGH EAST OF THE NORTHEAST U.S. COAST. THE APRROACHING TROUGH MAY
BE AIDING IN HARVEY'S PERSISTENCE IN REMAINING A 50 KT TROPICAL
STORM DUE TO TROUGH INTERACTION.

HARVEY IS FINALLY SUSTAINING A NORTHEAST MOTION AT 040/8. AS THE
SHORT WAVE APPROACHES...THE STEERING FLOW SHOULD ACCELERATE HARVEY
SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THEREAFTER...
HARVEY IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AS THE STORM
MOVES OVER THE COLD NORTH ATLANTIC WATERS. GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE
TO SHOW THAT EXTRATROPICAL HARVEY MAY LINGER FOR A FEW DAYS IN
EASTERN ATLANTIC.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC
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Postby b_a88 on Sun Aug 07, 2005 6:46 pm

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN AUG 07 2005

...HARVEY CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
RE-LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.6 WEST OR ABOUT
670 MILES...1080 KM... SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH ...20 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...37.0 N... 52.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC
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Postby SCgone on Sun Aug 07, 2005 6:47 pm

Harvey is history.
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Postby b_a88 on Sun Aug 07, 2005 7:15 pm

Bell1 wrote:Harvey is history.


Yeah I thought that before but then it suddenly intensified again so unless it does that again I probably will only post the last advisory of Harvey when ever that happens.
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Postby b_a88 on Wed Aug 10, 2005 6:56 am

LAST ADVISORY

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON AUG 08 2005

...HARVEY LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 46.1 WEST OR ABOUT
535 MILES... 865 KM... SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH... 32 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...40.8 N... 46.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN
BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE... UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC
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