[b_a88]

TROPICAL STORM CHRIS ADVISORY
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006
1100 AM AST TUE AUG 01 2006

...CHRIS APPROACHING THE NORTHERNMOST LEEWARD ISLANDS...HAS NOT
STRENGTHENED...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF
ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...SABA...ST.
EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...ST. MARTIN...AND ST. MAARTEN. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.3 WEST OR ABOUT 100
MILES...160 KM...EAST OF ANTIGUA.

CHRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR OR
OVER THE NORTHERNMOST LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON TO PROVIDE A MORE
ACCURATE ESTIMATE OF THE STRENGTH AND LOCATION OF CHRIS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS TO
NEAR 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH CHRIS.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...17.3 N...60.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

<a href="http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT03/refresh/AL0306W5+gif/145031W_sm.gif" target="_blank"><img src="http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT03/refresh/AL0306W5_sm2+gif/145031W_sm.gif"></a>

<a href="http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/vis.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/vis.jpg" width="500"></a>

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC

[DRAGON OF DARKNESS]

Honestly, it might go south of me but ill still get some pretty sick weather.



The yellow dot is me.

[kanaloa]

I saw the organization yesterday and could only wonder... it's August now today, LOL... guess it was time.

And I must have missed B... when/where the heck was it?

[DRAGON OF DARKNESS]

I saw the organization yesterday and could only wonder... it's August now today, LOL... guess it was time.

And I must have missed B... when/where the heck was it?

yeha i remember 2004 3 hurricanes in aug. one a week lol.

[kanaloa]

What kinda bothers me is that the East Coast as a whole (not Florida) is WAY overdue for a major storm. Think about the last few years... hardly anything on the East Coast.

It's been REALLY warm lately in the Northern Hemisphere. That heat usually takes a few weeks to get into the water (just the way the ocean heats up). These things could churn out for months... bc the heat will be around long after fall begins.

[DRAGON OF DARKNESS]

What kinda bothers me is that the East Coast as a whole (not Florida) is WAY overdue for a major storm. Think about the last few years... hardly anything on the East Coast.

It's been REALLY warm lately in the Northern Hemisphere. That heat usually takes a few weeks to get into the water (just the way the ocean heats up). These things could churn out for months... bc the heat will be around long after fall begins.

A few months ago, i saw something on CNN where it said the east coast had a higher probablity of storms then Florida.

[b_a88]

What kinda bothers me is that the East Coast as a whole (not Florida) is WAY overdue for a major storm. Think about the last few years... hardly anything on the East Coast.

It's been REALLY warm lately in the Northern Hemisphere. That heat usually takes a few weeks to get into the water (just the way the ocean heats up). These things could churn out for months... bc the heat will be around long after fall begins.

A few months ago, i saw something on CNN where it said the east coast had a higher probablity of storms then Florida.

Yeah thats true. The water temps off the east coast are much warmer than say last year.

[Nativedude]

Last major one we had around here was Isabel
We are overdue for another one

[kanaloa]

Last major one we had around here was Isabel
We are overdue for another one

That's what I was thinking too. Gaston was the last storm in SC, and was only upgraded after the fact. I remember it hit right as the new Cooper River bridge began construction, scared everyone.

I was only 8 at the time, but I'll never forget Hugo in 89.

[imnuts]

Honestly, it might go south of me but ill still get some pretty sick weather.



The yellow dot is me.

I would say that there is a better chance of it going north of you, given that storms tend to curve to the right and go up the coastline. I think that their projected path is far to straight.