[kanaloa]

I have been watching this thing closely too.

It's actually a pretty small hurricane believe it or not, which might be why it's hanging together so well.

I suspect it'll weaken (that's almost a joke) back to a Cat 3 before hitting Cuba, and then likely hit Florida with Cat 2 stregth. Some here thing it'll hit Alabama, but I think it's going to cross Florida (because of a ridge in the South) and then reform off the eastern coast. Of course I am going out on a limb there, but that's what I am thinking.

TD 10 also formed this morning, but will likely be no harm to the mainland... it's curving to the North East in the Atlantic.

[kanaloa]

Got a new TS now too... Jeanne.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT ... 1458W5.gif

[kanaloa]

http://www.nnvl.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/index. ... ane%20Ivan

Some awesome shots of Ivan... rare look at a Cat 4/5 storm.


Below you can see Ivan in the Atlantic and Javier in the Pacific.


Click to enlarge...

[Mac33]

That is an awesome link John. It's amazing to see this hurricane's eye and the movement towards Florida. I see it just clipped Cuba, and now we all wait with baited breath to see if it is going to hit Florida with its full force. This has been an unbelievable season for hurricanes.

[kanaloa]

Hurricane Ivan, Hurricane Javier, Tropical Storm Jeanne



or the

REALLY BIG VERSION

[MinusDriver]

I'm sure we are going to see some serious damage from this one. I'm expecting high winds and lots of rain here

[Mac33]

Is this still a category 5 Hurricane. I'm sure it must be with the size of it from the eye and how tight the circle is.

[kanaloa]

No it's weakened over the last 2 days to a Category 4... a lot of shearing at the upper levels has occured.

I think it will likely hit as a Weak 1/Strong 3, but many believe it'll hit as a Cat 3.

The biggest concern is that now it appears to stall in the Mountains here in the South... for up to 3 days. That will be horrible rain totals.

[ODiaz86]

Well Jeanne is coming from Puerto Rico and heading to maybe again to Florida. Hope this T.S. head for the ocean and not Florida.

[phileysmiley]

One potential disaster lurks in New Orleans. The city is already below sea level, up to 7 feet below. Dikes keep the water out. It sits like a bowl surrounded by water. A storm surge of 10-12 feet, as has been predicted, would put the City Of New Orleans under 18 feet of water.