HURRICANE WILMA - Landfall in Mexico and Florida
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HURRICANE WILMA - Landfall in Mexico and Florida

Postby b_a88 on Mon Oct 17, 2005 3:39 am

TROPICAL STORM WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2005

...TROPICAL STORM WILMA BECOMES THE 21ST NAMED STORM OF THE 2005
ATLANTIC SEASON OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...TIES THE RECORD FOR NAMED STORMS SET BACK IN 1933...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM WILMA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES
... 280 KM... SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH... 6 KM/HR. A SLOW
MOTION TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. HOWEVER...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK AND SOME ERRATIC
MOTION IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES
WILMA THE 21ST NAMED TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2005 ATLANTIC HURRICANE
SEASON... WHICH TIES THE RECORD OF 21 NAMED STORMS SET BACK IN
1933. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES
... 75 KM... MAINLY SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA... WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...17.2 N... 79.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

<a href='http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT24/refresh/AL2405W+gif/031031W_sm.gif'target='_blank'><img src='http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT24/refresh/AL2405W_sm2+gif/031031W_sm.gif'/></a>

<a href='http://maps.wunderground.com/data/images/at200524_sat.jpg'target='_blank'><img src='http://maps.wunderground.com/data/images/at200524_sat.jpg' width='500' height='333'></a>

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC/Weather Underground
Last edited by b_a88 on Tue Oct 25, 2005 12:03 pm, edited 23 times in total.
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Postby b_a88 on Mon Oct 17, 2005 3:14 pm

From Advisory Number 8A

...WILMA MOVING SLOWLY AS IT GATHERS STRENGTH...

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM WILMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST OR ABOUT
235 MILES... 380 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT
225 MILES... 365 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...16.1 N... 80.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...DRIFTING SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC

Those in the Gulf Coast Area should watch this storm with a close eye.
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Postby b_a88 on Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:43 am

From Advisory Number 11

...WILMA ALMOST A HURRICANE...EXPECTED TO BE ONE SOON...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM WILMA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES
...420 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 220 MILES...
350 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA
/HONDURAS BORDER.

WILMA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. THEREAFTER...A GENERAL MOTION TO THE
WEST IS EXPECTED FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK AND ERRATIC MOTION IS
POSSIBLE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE
TODAY.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...15.7 N... 80.0 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...982 MB.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC

Looks like it may be heading to southern Florida at this point and is supposed to be a Major Hurricane.
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Postby b_a88 on Tue Oct 18, 2005 11:44 am

HURRICANE WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2005

...WILMA BECOMES THE 12TH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON AS IT HEADS
NORTHWESTWARD...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN FURTHER TODAY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

WILMA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE IN THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA. ALL INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF WILMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR ABOUT 195
MILES... 320 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 200
MILES... 325 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.

WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH ...11 KM/HR... AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND WILMA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 120 MILES...195 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.

WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES
OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...JAMAICA...HAITI...AND SOUTHEASTERN
CUBA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...16.5 N... 80.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC
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Postby b_a88 on Tue Oct 18, 2005 4:19 pm

From Advisory and Discussion Number 13

...HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED FOR CUBA AND MEXICO...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES...
290 KM... SOUTH OF GRAND CAYMAN.

WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND WILMA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...16.7 N... 81.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 18/2100Z 16.7N 81.5W 70 KT
12HR VT 19/0600Z 17.3N 82.3W 90 KT
24HR VT 19/1800Z 18.2N 83.5W 100 KT
36HR VT 20/0600Z 19.1N 84.5W 110 KT
48HR VT 20/1800Z 20.2N 85.2W 115 KT
72HR VT 21/1800Z 22.5N 85.5W 110 KT
96HR VT 22/1800Z 25.0N 82.5W 100 KT
120HR VT 23/1800Z 30.5N 75.5W 70 KT

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC
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Postby b_a88 on Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:59 am

Wilma has intensified extremely quickly over night.

HURRICANE WILMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2005

...WILMA MAINTAINING CATEGORY FIVE STATUS...RECORD PRESSURE
CONFIRMED BY AIRCRAFT CREW...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA FROM CABO CATOCHE TO PUNTA GRUESA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF
YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES...
550 KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 175 MPH...280 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WILMA IS A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE COMMON
IN HURRICANES THIS INTENSE AND ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.

BASED ON DROPSONDE AND FLIGHT-LEVEL DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE PLANE
JUST RETURNING FROM ITS MISSION IN WILMA...THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 882 MB...26.05 INCHES. THIS IS THE
LOWEST PRESSURE ON RECORD FOR A HURRICANE IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN.

WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR 25 INCHES IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN
ACROSS CUBA THROUGH FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5
TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...SWAN ISLAND...AND JAMAICA THROUGH
THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE FROM HONDURAS
NORTHWARD TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO THROUGH THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...17.2 N... 82.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...175
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 882 MB.

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC
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Postby b_a88 on Wed Oct 19, 2005 11:08 am

Wilma is the most intense storm in the Atlantic Basin on record with a minimum central pressure of 882MB.
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Postby Stryker762 on Wed Oct 19, 2005 11:12 am

b_a88 wrote:Wilma is the most intense storm in the Atlantic Basin on record with a minimum central pressure of 882MB.


If you live in southern Florida.....GET OUT NOW....this one is gonna be a doozie. Be careful guys.
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Postby e to the x on Wed Oct 19, 2005 11:18 am

Mother Nature is not very happy with the southeastern US this year. Be safe to all those down there and in the path of this monter.
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Postby b_a88 on Wed Oct 19, 2005 11:21 am

Some imagery.

Infrared
<a href='http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/IR4/20.jpg'target='_blank'><img src='http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/IR4/20.jpg' width='499' height='333'></a>

Shortwave IR
<a href='http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/IR2/20.jpg'target='_blank'><img src='http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/IR2/20.jpg' width='499' height='333'></a>

Dvorak IR
<a href='http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/BD/20.jpg'target='_blank'><img src='http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/BD/20.jpg' width='499' height='333'></a>

Water Vapor
<a href='http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/WV/20.jpg'target='_blank'><img src='http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/WV/20.jpg' width='499' height='333'></a>

<img src="http://www.pronetworks.org/forum/images/smiles/source.jpg"> NOAA/NHC
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